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Oscar Predictions 2023 – We Are Movie Geeks

Academy Awards

Oscar Predictions 2023

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Michelle Yeoh Photo Credit: Courtesy of A24

The 2023 Oscars will be handed out on March 12, 2023, honoring Hollywood’s picks for the best films of the past year with all the glitz and glam we expect. In keeping with another annual tradition, that of trying to predict the Oscar winners, here are our predictions for what/who will win, should win, and for some categories, who/what should have been nominated but was not. Rather than cover all categories, these predictions will focus on just some top ones.

Best Picture – 301 features were eligible for Academy Awards.

The nominees are:

ALL QUIET ON THE WESTERN FRONT, Malte Grunert, Producer

AVATAR: THE WAY OF WATER, James Cameron and Jon Landau, Producers

THE BANSHEES OF INISHERIN, Graham Broadbent, Pete Czernin and Martin McDonagh, Producers

ELVIS, Baz Luhrmann, Catherine Martin, Gail Berman, Patrick McCormick and Schuyler Weiss, Producers

EVERYTHING EVERYWHERE ALL AT ONCE, Daniel Kwan, Daniel Scheinert and Jonathan Wang, Producers

THE FABELMANS, Kristie Macosko Krieger, Steven Spielberg and Tony Kushner, Producers

TÁR, Todd Field, Alexandra Milchan and Scott Lambert, Producers

TOP GUN: MAVERICK, Tom Cruise, Christopher McQuarrie, David Ellison and Jerry Bruckheimer, Producers

TRIANGLE OF SADNESS, Erik Hemmendorff and Philippe Bober, Producers

WOMEN TALKING, Dede Gardner, Jeremy Kleiner and Frances McDormand, Producers

Tom Cruise and Steven Spielberg at the Oscar Nominee Luncheon held in the International Ballroom at the Beverly Hilton on Monday, February 13, 2023. The 95th Oscars will air on Sunday, March 12, 2023 live on ABC.

Cate:

Will win: EVERYTHING EVERYWHERE ALL AT ONCE, Daniel Kwan, Daniel Scheinert and Jonathan Wang, Producers

Should win: EVERYTHING EVERYWHERE ALL AT ONCE, Daniel Kwan, Daniel Scheinert and Jonathan Wang, Producers

Michelle:

Will win: TOP GUN: MAVERICK – Hollywood is grateful to Tom Cruise right now – even Steven Spielberg thanked Cruise at The Oscars Nominee Luncheon

Should win: ALL QUIET ON THE WESTERN FRONT

Jim:

Will win: EVERYTHING EVERYWHERE ALL AT ONCE

Should win: EVERYTHING EVERYWHERE ALL AT ONCE

Should have been nominated: THE WOMAN KING, SHE SAID and TILL

95th Oscars® nominees Daniel Kwan, Jamie Lee Curtis and Daniel Scheinert arrive at the Oscar Nominee Luncheon held in the International Ballroom at the Beverly Hilton on Monday, February 13, 2023. The 95th Oscars will air on Sunday, March 12, 2023 live on ABC.

Best Director

The nominees are:

Martin McDonagh (THE BANSHEES OF INISHERIN)

Daniel Kwan, Daniel Scheinert (EVERYTHING EVERYWHERE ALL AT ONCE)

Steven Spielberg (THE FABELMANS)

Todd Field (TÁR)

Ruben Östlund (TRIANGLE OF SADNESS)

Cate

Will win: EVERYTHING EVERYWHERE ALL AT ONCE, Daniel Kwan and Daniel Scheinert

Should win: EVERYTHING EVERYWHERE ALL AT ONCE, Daniel Kwan and Daniel Scheinert

Michelle:

Will win: Daniel Kwan, Daniel Scheinert

Should win: Martin McDonagh

Jim:

Will win: EVERYTHING EVERYWHERE ALL AT ONCE

Should win: EVERYTHING EVERYWHERE ALL AT ONCE

Should have been nominated: Gina Prince-Bythewood (THE WOMAN KING) and Chinonye Chukwu (TILL): Joseph Kosinski (TOP GUN: MAVERICK)

AUSTIN BUTLER as Elvis in Warner Bros. Pictures’ drama “ELVIS,” a Warner Bros. Pictures release. Photo Credit: Hugh Stewart. Copyright: © 2021 Warner Bros. Entertainment Inc. All Rights Reserved.

Best Lead Actor

The nominees are:

Austin Butler (ELVIS)

Colin Farrell (THE BANSHEES OF INISHERIN)

Brendan Fraser (THE WHALE)

Paul Mescal (AFTERSUN)

Bill Nighy (LIVING)

Cate

Will win: Brendan Fraser (THE WHALE)

Should win: Colin Farrell (THE BANSHEES OF INISHERIN)

Michelle:

Will win: Brendan Fraser

Should win: Bill Nighy

Jim:

Will win: Brendan Fraser

Should win: Brendan Fraser

Should have been nominated: Eden Dambrine (CLOSE); Tom Cruise (TOP GUN: MAVERICK)

Cate Blanchett stars as Lydia Tár in director Todd Field’s TÁR, a Focus Features release. Credit: Courtesy of Focus Features

Best Lead Actress

The nominees are:

Cate Blanchett (TÁR)

Ana de Armas (BLONDE)

Andrea Riseborough (TO LESLIE)

Michelle Williams (THE FABELMANS)

Michelle Yeoh (EVERYTHING EVERYWHERE ALL AT ONCE)

Cate:

Will win: Michelle Yeoh (EVERYTHING EVERYWHERE ALL AT ONCE)

Should win: Cate Blanchett (TÁR)

Michelle:

Will win: Cate Blanchett

Should win: Michelle Yeoh

Jim:

Will win: Michelle Yeoh

Should win: Michelle Yeoh

Should have been nominated: Danielle Deadwyler, (TILL) and Viola Davis, (THE WOMAN KING)

Ke Huy Quan in EVERYTHING EVERYWHERE ALL AT ONCE. Photo Credit: Allyson Riggs. Courtesy A24

Best Supporting Actor

The nominees are:

Brendan Gleeson (THE BANSHEES OF INISHERIN)

Brian Tyree Henry (CAUSEWAY)

Judd Hirsch (THE FABELMANS)

Barry Keoghan (THE BANSHEES OF INISHERIN)

Ke Huy Quan (EVERYTHING EVERYWHERE ALL AT ONCE)

Cate:

Will win: Ke Huy Quan (EVERYTHING EVERYWHERE ALL AT ONCE)

Should win: Brendan Gleeson (THE BANSHEES OF INISHERIN)

Michelle:

Will win: Barry Keoghan

Should win: Barry Keoghan

Jim:

Will win: Ke Huy Quan

Should win: Ke Huy Quan

Kerry Condon and Barry Keoghan in the film THE BANSHEES OF INISHERIN. Photo Courtesy of Searchlight Pictures. © 2022 20th Century Studios All Rights Reserved

Best Supporting Actress

The nominees are:

Angela Bassett (BLACK PANTHER: WAKANDA FOREVER)

Hong Chau (THE WHALE)

Kerry Condon (THE BANSHEES OF INISHERIN)

Jamie Lee Curtis (EVERYTHING EVERYWHERE ALL AT ONCE)

Stephanie Hsu (EVERYTHING EVERYWHERE ALL AT ONCE)

Cate:

Will win: Angela Bassett (BLACK PANTHER: WAKANDA FOREVER)

Should win: Jamie Lee Curtis (EVERYTHING EVERYWHERE ALL AT ONCE)

Michelle:

Will win: Angela Bassett

Should win: Angela Bassett

Jim:

Will win: Angela Bassett

Should win: Jamie Lee Curtis

Should have been nominated: Lashana Lynch (THE WOMAN KING)

(l-r.) Ben Whishaw stars as August, Rooney Mara as Ona and Claire Foy as Salome in director Sarah Polley’s film WOMEN TALKING An Orion Pictures Release Photo credit: Michael Gibson © 2022 Orion Releasing LLC. All Rights Reserved.

Best Adapted Screenplay

The nominees are:

ALL QUIET ON THE WESTERN FRONT, Screenplay by Edward Berger, Lesley Paterson & Ian Stokell

GLASS ONION: A KNIVES OUT MYSTERY, Written by Rian Johnson

LIVING, Written by Kazuo Ishiguro

TOP GUN: MAVERICK, Screenplay by Ehren Kruger and Eric Warren Singer and Christopher McQuarrie; Story by Peter Craig and Justin Marks

WOMEN TALKING, Screenplay by Sarah Polley

Cate:

Will win: WOMEN TALKING, Screenplay by Sarah Polley

Should win: WOMEN TALKING, Screenplay by Sarah Polley

Michelle:

Will win: TOP GUN: MAVERICK

Should win: TOP GUN: MAVERICK

Jim:

Will win: WOMEN TALKING

Should win: WOMEN TALKING

Should have been nominated: THE WOMAN KING, Written by Dana Stevens and Maria Bello & SHE SAID

Gabriel LaBelle as Sammy Fabelman, in THE FABELMANS, co-written, produced and directed by Steven Spielberg. Photo credit: Courtesy of Universal

Best Original Screenplay

The nominees are:

THE BANSHEES OF INISHERIN, Written by Martin McDonagh

EVERYTHING EVERYWHERE ALL AT ONCE, Written by Daniel Kwan & Daniel Scheinert

THE FABELMANS, Written by Steven Spielberg & Tony Kushner

TÁR, Written by Todd Field

TRIANGLE OF SADNESS, Written by Ruben Östlund

Cate:

Will win: EVERYTHING EVERYWHERE ALL AT ONCE, Written by Daniel Kwan & Daniel Scheinert

Should win: THE BANSHEES OF INISHERIN, Written by Martin McDonagh

Michelle:

Will win: THE FABELMANS

Should win: EVERYTHING EVERYWHERE ALL AT ONCE

Jim:

Will win: EVERYTHING EVERYWHERE ALL AT ONCE

Should win: EVERYTHING EVERYWHERE ALL AT ONCE

Should have been nominated: TILL, Written by Chinonye Chukwu, Keith Beautchamp & Michael Reilly

Bardo: False Chronicle of a Handful of Truths (2022). Daniel GimÈnez Cacho as Silverio. Cr. SeoJu Park/Netflix © 2022

Best Cinematography

The nominees are:

ALL QUIET ON THE WESTERN FRONT, James Friend

BARDO, FALSE CHRONICLE OF A HANDFUL OF TRUTHS, Darius Khondji

ELVIS, Mandy Walker

EMPIRE OF LIGHT, Roger Deakins

TÁR, Florian Hoffmeister

Cate:

Will win: ALL QUIET ON THE WESTERN FRONT, James Friend

Should win: BARDO, FALSE CHRONICLE OF A HANDFUL OF TRUTHS, Darius Khondji

Michelle:

Will win: ALL QUIET ON THE WESTERN FRONT

Should win: ALL QUIET ON THE WESTERN FRONT

Jim:

Will win: ELVIS

Should win: ELVIS

Should have been nominated: TILL and THE WOMAN KING; THE BATMAN from cinematographer Greig Fraser and Claudio Miranda, the director of photography of Paramount’s TOP GUN: MAVERICK.

Best Documentary Feature Film

The nominees are:

ALL THAT BREATHES, Shaunak Sen, Aman Mann and Teddy Leifer

ALL THE BEAUTY AND THE BLOODSHED, Laura Poitras, Howard Gertler, John Lyons, Nan Goldin and Yoni Golijov

FIRE OF LOVE, Sara Dosa, Shane Boris and Ina Fichman

A HOUSE MADE OF SPLINTERS, Simon Lereng Wilmont and Monica Hellström

NAVALNY, Daniel Roher, Odessa Rae, Diane Becker, Melanie Miller and Shane Boris

Cate:

Will win: ALL THE BEAUTY AND THE BLOODSHED, Laura Poitras, Howard Gertler, John Lyons, Nan Goldin and Yoni Golijov

Should win: NAVALNY, Daniel Roher, Odessa Rae, Diane Becker, Melanie Miller and Shane Boris

Michelle:

Will win: NAVALNY

Should win: NAVALNY

Jim:

Will win: ALL THE BEAUTY AND THE BLOODSHED

Should win: FIRE OF LOVE

Should have been nominated: GOOD NIGHT OPPY, SIDNEY

Tom Cruise plays Capt. Pete “Maverick” Mitchell in Top Gun: Maverick from Paramount Pictures, Skydance and Jerry Bruckheimer Films.

Best Film Editing

The nominees are:

THE BANSHEES OF INISHERIN, Mikkel E.G. Nielsen

ELVIS, Matt Villa and Jonathan Redmond

EVERYTHING EVERYWHERE ALL AT ONCE, Paul Rogers

TÁR, Monika Willi

TOP GUN: MAVERICK, Eddie Hamilton

Cate:

Will win: TOP GUN: MAVERICK, Eddie Hamilton

Should win: EVERYTHING EVERYWHERE ALL AT ONCE, Paul Rogers

Michelle:

Will win: TOP GUN: MAVERICK

Should win: TOP GUN: MAVERICK

Jim:

Will win: EVERYTHING EVERYWHERE ALL AT ONCE

Should win: EVERYTHING EVERYWHERE ALL AT ONCE

Should have been nominated: WOMEN TALKING, Christopher Donaldson & Roslyn Kalloo

Best International Feature Film

The nominees are:

ALL QUIET ON THE WESTERN FRONT (Germany)

ARGENTINA, 1985 (Argentina)

CLOSE (Belgium)

EO (Poland)

THE QUIET GIRL (Ireland)

Cate:

Will win: ALL QUIET ON THE WESTERN FRONT (Germany)

Should win: ALL QUIET ON THE WESTERN FRONT (Germany)

Michelle:

Will win: ALL QUIET ON THE WESTERN FRONT

Should win: THE QUIET GIRL

Jim:

Will win: ALL QUIET ON THE WESTERN FRONT

Should win: ALL QUIET ON THE WESTERN FRONT

Should have been nominated: RRR

Catherine Clinch as Cait in THE QUIET GIRL. Courtesy of Super

Best Production Design

The nominees are:

ALL QUIET ON THE WESTERN FRONT, Production Design: Christian M. Goldbeck; Set Decoration: Ernestine Hipper

AVATAR: THE WAY OF WATER, Production Design: Dylan Cole and Ben Procter; Set Decoration: Vanessa Cole

BABYLON, Production Design: Florencia Martin; Set Decoration: Anthony Carlino

ELVIS, Production Design: Catherine Martin and Karen Murphy; Set Decoration: Bev Dunn

THE FABELMANS, Production Design: Rick Carter; Set Decoration: Karen O’Hara

Cate:

Will win: ELVIS

Should win: ALL QUIET ON THE WESTERN FRONT

Michelle:

Will win: ELVIS

Should win: ELVIS

Jim:

Will win: ELVIS

Should win: ELVIS

Should have been nominated: THE BANSHEES OF INISHERIN & EVERYTHING EVERYWHERE ALL AT ONCE

Jake Sully (Sam Worthington) in 20th Century Studios’ AVATAR: THE WAY OF WATER. Photo courtesy of 20th Century Studios. ©2022 20th Century Studios. All Rights Reserved.

Best Visual Effects

The nominees are:

ALL QUIET ON THE WESTERN FRONT, Frank Petzold, Viktor Müller, Markus Frank and Kamil Jafar

AVATAR: THE WAY OF WATER, Joe Letteri, Richard Baneham, Eric Saindon and Daniel Barrett

THE BATMAN, Dan Lemmon, Russell Earl, Anders Langlands and Dominic Tuohy

BLACK PANTHER: WAKANDA FOREVER, Geoffrey Baumann, Craig Hammack, R. Christopher White and Dan Sudick

TOP GUN: MAVERICK, Ryan Tudhope, Seth Hill, Bryan Litson and Scott R. Fisher

Cate:

Will win: AVATAR: THE WAY OF WATER, Joe Letteri, Richard Baneham, Eric Saindon and Daniel Barrett

Should win: AVATAR: THE WAY OF WATER, Joe Letteri, Richard Baneham, Eric Saindon and Daniel Barrett

Michelle:

Will win: TOP GUN: MAVERICK

Should win: TOP GUN: MAVERICK

Jim:

Will win: AVATAR: THE WAY OF WATER

Should win: AVATAR: THE WAY OF WATER

PINOCCHIO (Pictured) GUILLERMO DEL TORO. Cr. mandraketheblack.de/NETFLIX © 2020

Best Animated Feature Film

The nominees are:

GUILLERMO DEL TORO’S PINOCCHIO, Guillermo del Toro, Mark Gustafson, Gary Ungar and Alex Bulkley

MARCEL THE SHELL WITH SHOES ON, Dean Fleischer Camp, Elisabeth Holm, Andrew Goldman, Caroline Kaplan and Paul Mezey

PUSS IN BOOTS: THE LAST WISH, Joel Crawford and Mark Swift

THE SEA BEAST, Chris Williams and Jed Schlanger

TURNING RED, Domee Shi and Lindsey Collins

Cate:

Will win: GUILLERMO DEL TORO’S PINOCCHIO, Guillermo del Toro, Mark Gustafson, Gary Ungar and Alex Bulkley

Should win: GUILLERMO DEL TORO’S PINOCCHIO, Guillermo del Toro, Mark Gustafson, Gary Ungar and Alex Bulkley

Michelle:

Will win: GUILLERMO DEL TORO’S PINOCCHIO

Should win: PUSS IN BOOTS: THE LAST WISH

Jim:

Will win: GUILLERMO DEL TORO’S PINOCCHIO

Should win: GUILLERMO DEL TORO’S PINOCCHIO

Should have been nominated: APOLLO 10 and 1/2, WENDELL & WILD

The Caracas dress from the Christian Dior show in director Tony Fabian’s MRS.HARRIS GOES TO PARIS, a Focus Features release. Credit: Dávid Lukács / © 2021 Ada Films Ltd – Harris Squared Kft

Best Costume Design

The nominees are:

BABYLON, Mary Zophres

BLACK PANTHER: WAKANDA FOREVER, Ruth Carter

ELVIS, Catherine Martin

EVERYTHING EVERYWHERE ALL AT ONCE, Shirley Kurata

MRS. HARRIS GOES TO PARIS, Jenny Beavan

Cate:

Will win: ELVIS, Catherine Martin

Should win: MRS. HARRIS GOES TO PARIS, Jenny Beavan

Michelle:

Will win: ELVIS

Should win: ELVIS

Jim:

Will win: ELVIS

Should win: ELVIS

Best Makeup and Hairstyling

The nominees are:

ALL QUIET ON THE WESTERN FRONT, Heike Merker and Linda Eisenhamerová

THE BATMAN, Naomi Donne, Mike Marino and Mike Fontaine

BLACK PANTHER: WAKANDA FOREVER, Camille Friend and Joel Harlow

ELVIS, Mark Coulier, Jason Baird and Aldo Signoretti

THE WHALE, Adrien Morot, Judy Chin and Anne Marie Bradley

Cate:

Will win: ELVIS, Mark Coulier, Jason Baird and Aldo Signoretti

Should win: THE WHALE, Adrien Morot, Judy Chin and Anne Marie Bradley

Michelle:

Will win: THE WHALE

Should win: ELVIS

Jim:

Will win: THE WHALE

Should win: THE WHALE

Should have been nominated: TILL and THE WOMAN KING

Best Original Score

The nominees are:

ALL QUIET ON THE WESTERN FRONT, Volker Bertelmann

BABYLON, Justin Hurwitz

THE BANSHEES OF INISHERIN, Carter Burwell

EVERYTHING EVERYWHERE ALL AT ONCE, Son Lux

THE FABELMANS, John Williams

Cate:

Will win: BABYLON, Justin Hurwitz

Should win: THE BANSHEES OF INISHERIN, Carter Burwell

Michelle:

Will win: ALL QUIET ON THE WESTERN FRONT

Should win: ALL QUIET ON THE WESTERN FRONT

Jim:

Will win: BABYLON

Should win: THE FABELMANS

Jovan Adepo plays Sidney Palmer in Babylon from Paramount Pictures.